UNCTAD Increases India’s 2023 Growth Forecast to 6.6%

The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) has raised India’s economic growth forecast for 2023 to 6.6%, up from the 6% predicted earlier. However, it anticipates a slight slowdown to 6.2% growth in 2024.

Global Economic Outlook

  • UNCTAD expects global economic output growth to decelerate to 2.4% in 2023 but shows a modest uptick to 2.5% in 2024.
  • It characterizes the global economy as flying at “stall speed,” with the 2023 projection meeting the criteria for a global recession.
  • The recovery from the pandemic remains divergent worldwide, with some countries showing resilience while others face significant challenges.

India’s Economic Factors

  • India’s FY23 economic growth was 7.2%, according to UNCTAD.
  • External and domestic factors, alongside government and private sectors, have contributed to India’s growth, partly driven by changes in trade flows.
  • Despite the growth recovery, indicators like unemployment rates and rising inequality are concerns for India.

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